Someone wrote in ![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} venik4, |
Nabucco is DOA
The main problem with Nabucco is that there is basically no gas to fill it. It might have worked if Turkmenistan and the other Central Asian producers (who have much smaller reserves) would have committed to supplying via Nabucco. But it appears that they are content to ship via Russian pipelines if they get a fair price, which is exactly what Gazprom has guaranteed them.
You are right about the lack of NATO leverage on Russia's economy. By isolating it for 17 years they have castrated their threat of isolation. I think that NATO will go into a spasm of hysteria when its impotence trickles down into the collective awareness. They were supposed to be masters of the universe but instead they are a Potemkin village. It is a very dangerous time for Russia, the reflex of the west is always "drang nach osten". Russia must put the arms reductions process on long-term ice.
The main problem with Nabucco is that there is basically no gas to fill it. It might have worked if Turkmenistan and the other Central Asian producers (who have much smaller reserves) would have committed to supplying via Nabucco. But it appears that they are content to ship via Russian pipelines if they get a fair price, which is exactly what Gazprom has guaranteed them.
You are right about the lack of NATO leverage on Russia's economy. By isolating it for 17 years they have castrated their threat of isolation. I think that NATO will go into a spasm of hysteria when its impotence trickles down into the collective awareness. They were supposed to be masters of the universe but instead they are a Potemkin village. It is a very dangerous time for Russia, the reflex of the west is always "drang nach osten". Russia must put the arms reductions process on long-term ice.
